Ukraine wants to use AI to predict where Russian drones will hit the battlefield with 'high probability'

A soldier from the Striletskyi special forces police battalion of the National Police in the Zaporizhzhia region looks at a smartphone near a Ukrainian 2S22 Bohdana 155 mm self-propelled howitzer.

Dmytro Smolienko/Ukrinform/NurPhoto via Getty Images Ukraine says it's about to start using an AI model that can forecast drone threats on the front lines.

It said the tool analyzes battlefield data to predict how, where, and when Russia will strike.

The model, dubbed No.

13, was jointly developed with NATO, its defense ministry said.

Ukraine's defense ministry said on Tuesday that its forces are about to start using a jointly NATO-developed artificial intelligence model to predict where and when Russia's drone strikes will land.

Dubbed "Model No.

13," the tool analyzes past combat data, weather conditions, and battlefield conditions to determine, with "high probability," how Russian troops will use drones on the front lines, the ministry said in a statement.

The model can forecast the strike's time, location, intensity, and type of drone used, the ministry said.

"The solution has already been validated using real-world datasets.

It has been refined and is ready for integration into the Armed Forces of Ukraine's situational awareness systems," its statement read.

The ministry said Model No.

13 was developed by its armed forces and NATO's Allied Command Transformation , with support from the Joint Analysis, Training and Education Center, an organization the alliance created in late 2024 to help it innovate based on lessons learned in the war.

ACT and JATEC did not immediately respond to requests for comment sent outside regular business hours by Business Insider.