New poll shows Washington state voters are ready to end boys competing in girls' sports

The people of Washington state haven't officially spoken yet, but new polling revealed what they might actually say.

The hottest-button issue on the Nov.

3 ballot is Initiative 638, a measure that would ban biological boys from competing against girls in K-12 sports.

And Wednesday, data suggested that it has a strong chance of passing.

Let's Go Washington, the group behind the initiative, released numbers showing that 56% of 7,500 of likely Washington voters would vote "yes" on I-638, 24% would vote "no" and 22% were undecided.

In terms of support by political affiliation, the poll showed that 73% of Republican respondents support the measure, along with 48% of Democrats and 52% of independents.

MAINE BALLOT INITIATIVE BARRING BOYS FROM USING GIRLS' LOCKER ROOMS IN DANGER OF BEING BLOCKED Keep in mind, this was not an independent poll, and the full methodology — including margin of error — has not been disclosed.

But these data don't suggest a photo finish on the initiative come November so much as a rout.

"We're not surprised by the results, because it's exactly what we've been hearing from people when we're making calls, knocking on doors and talking to people at events," Let's Go Washington communications director Hallie Herzberg told OutKick.

"The opposition is loud and they're intimidating and they're trying to bully people into being quiet, but we've seen and heard from people standing with us saying "enough is enough, high school girls are not the villains." As it stands, 27 states have laws prohibiting biological males from competing against girls in K-12 sports.

But 27 were won by Donald Trump in 2024, and none of those laws were enacted by voters.

So not only could Washington become the first blue state with enforced gender separation in school sports, but also the first where voters themselves put that policy into place.

This was a point of emphasis at an I-638 rally in Vancouver, Wash., last Saturday, where five female athletes who had to compete against biological males and/or share a locker room with them shared their stories.

One of them spoke about two mustached boys flexing in the mirror of the girls locker room before her basketball game, while another detailed how the WIAA — Washington's high school sports governing body — launched an investigation for harassment and bullying because she said "you're a man" to an 18-year-old male her team had to compete against.