Trump blows up the US-Canada relationship

President Donald Trump at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, on August 21, 2026. | Win McNamee/Getty Images This story appeared in The Logoff , a daily newsletter that helps you stay informed about the Trump administration without letting political news take over your life.

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Welcome to The Logoff: Donald Trump’s trade war with Canada is back in full force.

What’s happening? Remember last week, when Trump said that the US and Canada had a trade deal in place? It turns out they do not.

After negotiations fell through on Friday, Trump responded with a 50 percent tariff on some $20 billion in Canadian goods, plus threats of higher tariffs on cars, car parts, and steel to come in 2027.

Trump, Vice President JD Vance, and other administration officials are also leaning into ever more inflammatory rhetoric, with Vance taunting Canada on Monday as “a state” that “quite literally would get invaded by a foreign country were it not for the umbrella of protection provided by the United States of America.” How is Canada responding? With outrage, as my colleague Caitlin Dewey explains , and with tariffs of their own: On Saturday, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said that his country would match US tariffs “dollar for dollar,” starting early next month.

“We cannot accept what the U.S. has offered,” he wrote, “and we will not give what they have asked.” In addition to trade terms, the US allegedly made requests to weaken Canada’s French-language protections, which Carney said would have infringed on Canadian “sovereignty.” Why does this matter? Immediately speaking, tariffs make things more expensive at a time when voters are already incensed over prices and the Iran war is making inflation worse ; their impact could be especially felt in border states like Maine and Michigan, which also happen to have high-stakes, closely contested Senate races coming up in 72 days.

On a longer timeline, the Trump administration is doing damage to the US-Canada relationship that goes far deeper than specific tariffs and will be far harder to reverse.

Already, in January, Carney delivered a speech charting a plan to move past relying on the US as a global partner; Trump’s latest trade war will only accelerate that rupture.

And with that, it’s time to log off… Violent crime rates in the US are falling across the board , according to new 2025 statistics released by the FBI, including the murder rate, which just hit a 70-year low — tied for the lowest ever recorded.

That’s good news in any context, but if you want to learn more, my colleague Bryan Walsh took a crack at explaining how it happened.

You can read his article here with a gift link.

Thanks for reading, have a great evening, and we’ll see you back here tomorrow!