Week one upset special: These three college football teams should be on upset alert this weekend

I hope you all canceled your plans for the next 20 or so Saturdays, because college football is back .

After a nice appetizer over the weekend courtesy of week zero, the action ramps up in earnest with a full slate of games going all the way through Labor Day.

There are quite a few high-profile match ups on the docket for week one, and with that comes the inevitability of upsets.

SEC LAWYERS, LANE KIFFIN AND DEATH VALLEY: COLLEGE FOOTBALL’S WEEK 1 IS SET FOR FIREWORKS It is college football, after all, and no season opener would be complete without a few shockers (happy 19th anniversary to Appalachian State's win at The Big House , by the way).

With that in mind, here are three teams favored to win this weekend that should be on upset alert.

Let me preface this pick by saying that I truly believe Auburn head coach Alex Golesh will do great things on The Plains, but this game reeks of upset potential.

The Tigers are breaking in a ton of new players as well as the aforementioned new coaching staff, and the fact that this is at a neutral site in Atlanta makes this game extra wonky.

The Baylor Bears weren't exactly world beaters last year, and new quarterback DJ Lagway was a train wreck at Florida in 2025, but he was dealing with a litany of injuries all last season as well as having to perform in a Billy Napier offense, so I expect the junior signal caller to look more like a five-star than he did throughout much of his time in Gainesville.

SLEEPER TEAMS FROM EACH POWER 4 CONFERENCE: WHO WILL EXCEED EXPECTATIONS THIS COLLEGE FOOTBALL SEASON? Auburn won this game handily last year, too, but did so with an entirely different coaching staff and set of players, so that result is a largely irrelevant data point.

I wouldn't put money on the Bears to win this game outright, but I wouldn't be shocked if they did, and I almost expect them to get inside that 7.5 number as Golesh tries to work through some first-game jitters.

If you had asked me to pick this game seven days ago, I would have hammered UNLV, but with the benefit of seeing both teams perform during week zero, I might have to pivot to the Rainbow Warriors of Hawaii.

The Rebels struggled to stop Memphis's offense in the 27-21 loss to the Tigers at home, and I have a feeling some of that defensive fog lingers for this game too.

Conversely, Hawaii might have actually gained some confidence in their week zero loss to Stanford, a game in which they were the underdogs and were leading midway through the fourth quarter.

The biggest factor here is that the game is in Honolulu, and that kind of trans-Pacific travel coupled with a season-opening loss could spell trouble for the Rebels.