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Business

It turns out that Gen Z didn’t quit on careers. The workforce quit on them

Fortune ·
It turns out that Gen Z didn’t quit on careers. The workforce quit on them

For years, the conventional wisdom about young workers has gone something like this: Gen Z doesn’t want a traditional career.

They’d rather freelance, day-trade, chase side hustles, and treat a 9-to-5 as something like a relic that their parents clung to.

Some were even “financial nihilists” who gave up on an old-fashioned career.

Paul Osterman , professor emeritus at the MIT Sloan School of Management, has spent decades testing that kind of assumption against hard labor-market data, and in his new book, he says the evidence points in the opposite direction.

“Is that rhetoric really reflected in the attitudes of younger people?” Osterman asked.

“The evidence is that it’s absolutely not.” The labor economist has built his career studying job quality, from long-term care workers to middle managers to what makes some employers create “good jobs” and others not.

His book, Disposable Workers: The Transformation of Employment , is his latest attempt to quantify a shift he believes has been building since the postwar era: what employers are willing to offer.

The 35% number Drawing on an original survey of more than 6,000 U.S. adults aged 24 and up, plus nearly 100 interviews with workers, employers, and staffing agencies, Osterman calculates that 35% of the American workforce, more than 55 million people, now falls into what he categorizes as “disposable” work: freelancers, contractors, gig workers, and a group he named “marginal workers.” Marginal workers are W-2 employees of an organization who are not treated as real members of it—hired with an implicit understanding that they won’t stick around or advance.

“They’re not really attached to the organization,” Osterman told Fortune .

“No one has job security anymore, but these folks are hired with that expectation and are not going to be around for long.” The category spans a surprisingly wide swath of the economy, from adjunct faculty and staff attorneys hired for single cases, to high-turnover retail and service jobs, to even contract employees embedded for years inside big tech companies without ever being on a path to full-time status.

The point, Osterman added, is that they are all hired with the expectation of high turnover: that they’ll be disposable, in other words.

Gig work is a rounding error by comparison.

“Gig jobs are not really the story,” Osterman said.

“They’re about 2% of the workforce.” Contracting and marginal employment, he argues, are the much larger and more consequential trend hiding in plain sight.

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