Oil falls as US prepares to unveil new Iran sanctions
Oil prices slipped more than $1 a barrel on Monday as investors took profits ahead of an expected announcement from Washington about imposing more sanctions on Iran that may further disrupt supplies from the Middle East.
Brent crude futures fell $1.23, or 1.3%, to $93.16 by 0329 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $85.7 a barrel, down $1.36, or 1.6%.
Both contracts posted their second weekly gains last week, up more than 5%, as peace talks between the US and Iran hit a stalemate, capping oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, where a fifth of the world’s supply used to transit.
United States (US) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, set to hold a press conference at 2 p.m.
EDT (1800 GMT) on Monday, has threatened to impose “the toughest sanctions in history” on Iran.
President Donald Trump has also threatened to impose sanctions on Iran’s trading partners.
“It is unclear whether US policy to economically isolate Iran will prove effective,” Vivek Dhar, a commodities analyst at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, wrote in a note.
“But if the US measures do work as intended, Iran’s ability to respond via increased violence becomes a growing risk for energy markets to consider.” Iran has condemned US plans to announce new sanctions even as President Masoud Pezeshkian called for a diplomatic solution.
“The more pragmatic members of the Iranian leadership would prefer to de-escalate, but the hardliners would probably prefer to fight to the bitter end,” IG markets analyst Tony Sycamore said.
“I think by the end of this week we will have a good idea which side of the Iranian leadership has the upper hand.” Offers of Iranian crude to Chinese buyers have declined, and prices have jumped as the US blockade has cut Tehran’s shipments, according to trade sources.
However, Iran has granted permission for a number of Iraqi oil tankers to pass through the Strait following repeated requests from Baghdad, Iran’s state news agency IRNA reported on Saturday.
Some analysts are expecting the recovery in supplies from the Middle East to take even longer than expected as the US-Iran conflict persists.
“Crude (supply) is tightening.
Recent weeks have seen one of the sharpest declines in oil-on-water, whilst onshore inventories are declining as well, including in China,” said Morgan Stanley analysts in a note.
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