Labor and the Greens improve in Newspoll and Resolve and One Nation drops

Two federal polls taken last week (Newspoll and Resolve) have gains for Labor and the Greens and drops for One Nation.

The total One Nation and Coalition vote was 48% in both Newspoll and Resolve (down one in Newspoll and down three in Resolve).

I had expected Labor to be adversely affected by the Reserve Bank’s September 29 interest rate hike .

Voters may be blaming Donald Trump and the Iran war more.

Seven weeks before the Victorian election on November 28, a Redbridge poll has the Coalition continuing to dominate, leading Labor by 56–44.

The Greens are at a record 16%.

In the United Kingdom, Labour held former PM Keir Starmer’s seat at a byelection last Thursday against a challenge from the Greens.

Federal Newspoll A national Newspoll , conducted October 5–8 from a sample of 1,241, gave Labor 29% of the primary vote (up two since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago ), One Nation 28% (down two), the Coalition 20% (up one), the Greens 14% (up one) and all Others 9% (down two).

No two-party estimate was given by either Newspoll or Resolve, but the primary vote swings in both polls would benefit Labor after preferences.

Anthony Albanese’s net approval improved three points from a record low to -24 (60% dissatisfied, 36% satisfied).

Angus Taylor’s improved four points to -11 (47% dissatisfied, 36% satisfied).

Pauline Hanson’s was down two points to -9 (52% dissatisfied, 43% satisfied).

Hanson is down eight points in the last two Newspolls, while Taylor is up six.

This is the graph of Albanese’s net approval in Newspoll with a smoothed line.